Monday, November 27, 2017

Rahul’s Lies Exposed


"Indian national congress" and its bigwig Rahul Gandhi  are finding it difficult to create a far-reaching comeback in Indian politics since they were set aloof from power after 2014 elections.It is not a buried fact that INC'S graph is continuously declining in India and is continuously loosing in most of the major assembly elections and cannot recall any great success till now. , they will have to take take up some curative steps now if not the day is not far when the oldest party of India will become history. There is a deep hidden perturbation among INC, their workers and leaders. Everyone knows that congress is filled with palliative and an antidote is must.  As they have a limited opportunity to play double over now, so they designed a strategy and that is, to prove that every corrective action and policy decision taken by “Narendra Modi Government” as wrong.  The biggest challenge in front of INC is that people of India are happy with these decisions and the Govt. is praised by most of the global agencies and friendly countries, so there is a limited room for INC to fly into. They cannot praise the decisions of UPA as same mismanagement was the reason why India completely spurned them out in 2014 elections. So they can only create false stories to confuse people. It’s very common that when you are left with limited options then you tend to do few things which cross the boundaries of logic. The same is happening with Rahul and his branding team. They are creating false stories and are caught by people every now and then.
If we analyze false statements of Rahul a book can be written on the same and it is practically impossible to bring in everything. Here I am just trying to bring out few facts which are discussed on every media.

Rahul is claiming that Modiji has waived 110000 cr of loans to his industrialist friends. This is a trivial untruth and Rahul is not confused but knowingly trying to delude people of India. Rahul Gandhi raised the same question in parliament and finance minister had clearly given him facts and figures that it is not true. RBI has also decaled the same in its report,  Still after knowing that his statement is far away from reality he has been continuously making this claim in his rally speeches. He has just taken a figure of AUCA accounts and claiming it as a waiver.  Tomorrow there is a possibility that he can come forward and say that any NPA created is a waiver.  This is a clear example of irrationality and I am surprised why media is silent and not asking such questions to him. How can we allow one person to speak anything in the public against the Government without having any facts and figures?

Congress leaders and supporters of Rahul are claiming that GST rate is decreased because of his pressure. This is again such a statement which has no relation to truth. According to a report states had expected a shortfall of 17000 cr in july but in august it came down to 7000 cr this was a result of increase in number of tax payers and it is estimated that a surplus can be created in the future so the same is given as a rate cut. It is obvious when a new structure is announced and there will be a continuous study on the revenue collected, with the further increase in collection there will be readjustment on tax rates on necessary goods. This decision was a part of the process of  GST implimentation and has nothing to do with any kind of pressure. Now its clear that congress is trying to give illogical credit to Rahul Gandhi.

There is another imprecise claim from Rahul that Statue of unity is made in China This world’s tallest statue of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel is made
by Larson&Tubro and they have procured some copper plates which is 8% of total value of project from china and rahul is calling it made in china.  This statement is not only a disparage to nation but also the great personality and” Iron Man of India” who played a major role in uniting the states and formation of India as a country. He deserved to be the first prime minister of India if the conspiracies were not played to keep him away fron the position. This is a dark part of the history of Indian freedom and now when his statue is created again a person from same conspirator linage has a problem. 

Rahul is continuously trying to prove that demonetization was a failure but the same has brought in only mockery for himself. He made a desperate tweet having photograph of same Nand Lal who was made a poster boy by INC to oppose demonetization

You can clearly see in this video how an innocent person’s photograph was misused by opposition to prove that demonetization is against the people of India. Demonetization was accomplished to channelize money through banks, control corruption and eradicate fake currency issues and it is a successful decision on the given parameters. To understand more about demonetization please refer to an article "Was Demonetization Successful"  this will give a clear picture on each and every aspect of demonetization.

He has also claimed that Swakch Bharat Mission is a complete failure, Its really surprising when our prime minister is talking about making toilets and 49.6 million toilets are built so far and more are in process, Swakch Bharat Mission is designed to motivate and educate people towards keeping their cities clean, no one can say that it is a wrong but still Rahul feels that keeping the country clean is wrong. See how people responded to him


 I can proudly say that there is a change and people are now making efforts towards the cleanliness of their surroundings.This kind of changes are not easy and require actions from government as well as change the complete mindset of people. One can never say that they are 100% successful but the success is in the process of changing behaviorism of common citizenry. On that account "Swakch Bharat Mission" is a great success as there is a visible change in India.  

There are many such examples where Rahul Gandhi has been caught falsely  proving every progression of Narendra modi government to be wrong. He is ignoring the fact that India is changing and if he really wants to convince people he should have guts to say apple as apple. This way Rahul is just spoiling his own image and wasting his money on branding companies to create erroneous anti Modi campaigns. 

For One Bharat Mission #RahulLiesExposed





Tuesday, November 21, 2017

“Indian National Congress” is Drowning






I am not a clairvoyant to predict the future of INC but after studying some facts and figures we can easily conclude that oldest political party if India “Indian national Congress” is approaching towards its unfortunate end. To understand the same we need to understand the structure of this political party. Congress is like a private company run by President MD & Gen Secy or CEO (And Basic qualification is, that you have to be from Nehru Gandhi Family) no non Gandhi congress leaders can rise in the ladder and reach to that level. All position of ministers and even prime ministers who were not from so called Gandhi family were puppets controlled by one family. So if one reaches the top of the ladder in INC then he/she is not left with any other option, except wearing the bridle designed by Gandhi family. There are many leaders who opposed these bondages but they met some or the other natural looking accident and are not in this world now.

Only those people can stay with congress who are either very innocent and do not understand the real story or who are just looking for selfish benefits and to gain that, they can be bondage to anyone who fulfils their avarice with grass of prosperity and water of political power. To make that possible this political party created the concept of खाओ ओर खाने दो (khao aur khane do) which literally means sharing and promoting corruption booty among the leaders and then, slave them, use them for incrementing powers of a family. INC is revolving around, the psychology of greed and hunger for power and money. Most of the congress workers and leaders are nurtured by the same psychology; they are now addicts of the same and have become incorrigible. Congress workers are just moved by a carrot and cream is with the powerful people in the party. Those eating cream are also not free to take their own decision and they are bound by centralized management to follow the Gandhi family blindly like a obedient child.
 If Gandhi family withdraws from power and party democratically starts thinking of making someone else take lead than there will be many people all around who are aspiring for the position and that will create internal conflicts. I think most of the leaders who were raising their voice against Gandhi family have understood that and this is the reason why there is a silence in the party on this subject of running the party without Gandhi family.  
After the P. V. Narasimha Rao tenure, the congress party was on the verge of falling apart and they had only one resort and that was to leverage "Gandhi" surname. That's the reason top members of the congress party went pleading to "Sonia Gandhi" to join their party as the party president. Sonia Gandhi is intelligent enough to understand the situation falling in her favour. It is a different story that this situation may have been created by Sonia Gandhi herself; she knows how to play slow but well planned moves to get into power. Her all pawns were in place and she knew how to take advantage and become a power centre again within INC. Now all voices are down and everyone just follows the whip from Gandhi family without uttering a single word. Everyone in INC are just waiting for 2019 general election results and expecting a miracle under Rahul Gandhi Congress leaders are aware that they are not going to win these elections, but they are still waiting for the result of their last bet on the ground of Indian politics. If they succeed to get few more seats they will have some holding on Indian politics.


Rahul Gandhi is already working as undeclared party president and soon he will be appointed by official declaration. Sonia Gandhi didn’t wanted early declaration because if INC looses in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh then Rahul Gandhi will have to take responsibility of the same. In case Rahul Gandhi is appointed as party president at the mid of Gujarat elections, then a statement that “INC lost because of delay in appointing Rahul as president” will be sufficient to convince many party workers. This way Rahul will get one more lifeline for 2019 general elections. Although there was tremendous pressure from many congress leaders including Jyotiraditya Scindia who is looking from the perspective of Madhya Pradesh elections and wants himself to be declared as CM face of congress in Madhya Pradesh. There were some rumours about Scindiya and his willingness to join BJP. These rumours were not baseless, but BJP will not take any risk on Schindiya because of his family reputation in Bundelkhand. Now as he has no option, except getting the best possible position for himself, if not a CM then at least the leader of opposition in MP.  To make his stake more powerful he has to show his faith on Rahul. All such leaders who want some power are showing there closeness towards Rahul Gandhi and the best way to do that is to demand for him being elected as president of INC.


It looks like everyone is silent in INC and keeping their internal conflicts away for some time.
If you study the subject it is very easy to understand the reason. The main reason behind this behaviour is the corruption free India policy of our Prime Minister Shree Narendra Modi JI. PMO is not only trying all their ways to make India corruption free but also digging the graves of previous corruption cases and flow of money by data mining. Now most of the in INC leaders are worried and want to save themselves from the anti corruption stick of PMO. They want to go on their last fight for saving themselves not INC. They know that INC is not wining 2019 general elections but if by putting all efforts they are able to bring BJP into coalition with some regional parties then they have some scope of saving themselves. For INC leaders 2019 is not about winning or losing but their survival.


Indian National Congress is sitting on an active volcano, all efforts are made to postpone internal conflicts till 2019 general elections. Demonetization has shaken most of the INC leaders from Inside and they are on their way to fight their last battle to save themselves from this anticorruption tornado of Shree Narendra Modi ji.
 Obviously after losing 2019 INC will become a fighting ground where they will blame each other and there will be so much polluted air in the party that it will not take much time to blast INC into pieces. This is how the story of oldest political party of India will come to an end.  


Our Prime Minister Shree Narendra Modi and his team are moving in the right direction where we will create a nation that will be prosperous and strong. There is a possibility that opposition parties will offer inveigle, these offers will be tempting. But understand offers of reservation or easy gain is like bite in rat-trap, if you are eluded you will not get any other opportunity to repent. So please vote for BJP (vote for Narendra Modi ji) in your state assembly elections and general elections in the country.


INC is an old ship now and this complicated machinery is given in the hands of a person who is unfit to handle the same. Just think a person who can write on twitter that his dog named Pidi tweets for him lacks basic IQ and common sense. This person will now handle all mature but greedy leaders, how long can this ship go. INC will drown in the ocean of Indian politics and in future we will only find it in few books of history.




#RaGaCrowning_INC_Drowning 

Friday, November 17, 2017

Lala Lajpat Rai: lion of Punjab



By Latha Iyer on one Bharat Mission

Punjab has given India several freedom fighters and tall leaders. One name which stands out is that of Punjab Kesari Sri Lala Lajpat Rai. He led several agitations and actively participated in India’s freedom struggle. He was influenced by Hinduism and believed that Hinduism encouraged practices that brought peace to humanity and it was this peaceful belief system mixed with nationalism would create a truly secular nation. His views and belief system were shaped by his father who was a school teacher and his deeply religious mother. He was also influenced by Swami Dayanand Saraswati and became a member of Arya Sabha as well.
He was born in a Hindu Aggarwal family in Dhudike which lies in Moga district of present day Punjab. He participated in various nationalist agitations; the most famous one being the protest against Simon commission in 1928. On 30th October 1928 he led the protest march against the visiting Simon commission members in Lahore. The protestors were lathi charged and Lalaji received severe injuries. He succumbed to his injuries on 17th November 1928. In his address to the crowd, which unfortunately turned out to be the last one, after receiving fatal injuries during the lathi charge he declared “I declare that the blows struck at me today will be the last nails in the coffin of British rule in India”. The day of his martyrdom is celebrated as Martyr’s day in Odisha.
He spearheaded Indian National Movements and Hindu reforms movement. He inspired the younger generation to take part in India’s independence movement by leading from the front. His journalism boosted the morale of nationalist and patriotic citizens thereby encouraging them to contribute in whatever capacity they could towards the freedom movement. Like most nationalists of that time, he obtained a degree in law and practised in Hisar as well. He was not just a lawyer and journalist but also founded several reputed organizations including the Punjab National Bank, Hisar Arya Samaj, Hisar Bar council and national DAV managing committee among others. He set up a trust in memory of his mother Gulab Devi, who died of tuberculosis, in Lahore. This trust was entrusted with the task of building and running a tuberculosis hospital. The hospital known as Gulab Devi Chest Hospital was inaugurated on 17th July 1934. Even today the Gulab Devi Memorial Hospital is one of the biggest hospitals in Pakistan and treats close to 2000 patients every day.
He was a journalist par excellence and the founding editor of Arya Gazette. He also regularly contributed to several reputed newspapers and magazines in the Hindi, English, Punjabi and Urdu languages. He penned several books such as The Story of My Deportation, Arya Samaj, The United States of America: A Hindu’s Impression, Unhappy India, England's Debt to India and Young India: An Interpretation and a History of the Nationalist Movement from Within. His writings inspired young leaders like Chandrashekar Azad and Bhagat Singh to take up arms against the British Raj and lay down their lives for the cause of freeing India. The injuries he sustained took his life but his sacrifice did not go in vain as Bhagat, Azad, Rajguru and Sukhdev vowed to avenge his death.

He was a part of the triumvirate Lal Bal Pal along with Bal Gangadhar Tilak and Bipin Chandra Pal. Lala was given the epithet ‘Punjab Kesari’ meaning the ‘Lion of Punjab’ and he lived up to his name fighting the British till the end. Let us salute this great martyr who lost his life on this very day 89 years ago but not before inspiring the next generation to free Bharat from the clutches of the British.

Written By


Latha Iyer

My Open letter to “Sam Pitroda”




Dear
Satyanarayan Gangaram Pitroda  (Sam Pitroda)

I am a common citizen of India and was flabbergasted after reading your interview by “Mahesh Langa Published on “The Hindu” updated on “November 16, 2017” where you called Gujarat model as bogus.  This is same Gujarat that won over 285 awards under UPA rule. It is Unsporting to change opinions like this. Just because UPA is not in Government and you want to oppose the current Government that’s why you are abjuring Gujarat growth model. The same Gujarat Government which was praised by many congress ministers before 2014.

I can really understand your level of frustration when you said “I find it disgusting when someone says nothing was done in 70 years in the country” but can’t you realize the mistakes made by congress government, which ruled India for the longest period after independence. Still congress has not changed and trying to play same old tricks in Gujarat elections. The level of hypocrisy is achieved when you are saying that “India is a land of opportunities, and everyone doesn't need special privileges for development” and ‘Rahul Gandhi’ luring a caste segment of society for reservation. He thinks by playing this cheap politics he can win Gujarat. ‘Sam’ Guajarati’s are intelligent people and they cannot be deluded by this trick. You could have shown your frustration on this reservation card of Rahul, but then, how will you prove your contiguity with that family.

As per your interview published in “The Hindu” you have raised few concerns and all those are concentrated around proving that Gujarat Model of development is not a successful model. These barren comments stand nowhere on the ground of reality. Let’s examine few of your concerns.

 Your Concern 1- Gujarat State does not spend money on women-centric schemes:
 These are many schemes in Gujarat which are designed to make, woman self sufficient secure and prosperous. I think you have not gone through these and that is the reason you is giving such statements without studying these facts and figures. Here is the brief description of women centric schemes of Gujarat Government. Fish entrepreneur Yojna is for For SC/ST women On Rs. 10,000 unit cost to buy weighing machines, insulated boxes 50% assistance is given. Training is also provided. Krishi Talim Yojana is a scheme is for all rural women farmer’s and farmers wife’s to train them latest technology. Sakhi Mandal Yojna is a loan scheme where Finance is provided to catalyse the process of economic development to ensure the welfare of women, skills development, and the widening framework of micro finance development. Nari Adalat for women security, Chiranjeevi Yojana is to encourage institutional delivery in BPL families. Kunverbai numameru is For daughters of SC, first daughter’s marriage, they can avail Rs.5000 and Rs.2000 is given to girl’s parents/guardian Saraswati Sadhna Yojna For SC girls cycles are provided through this scheme. A sum of Rs. 500 is given to buy a bicycle for girls below 8th grade. For students in elementary & high school food and lodging are provided free of cost. Vidhya Sahay and Talim Yojna is  For women between 18-40 years who have lost their husbands, this is the scheme for their empowerment and improvement of economic living conditions. Rs. 3000 is given under Manav Garima yojna to help them to be self reliant. Monetary help by application is given to the women (Rs. 500) and Rs. 80 (per child) every month through the post office. Swayamsiddhi Yojana is an integrated project for development and empowerment of women, an overall development of women – social, economic and cultural is initiated by providing them with the resources through a sustained process of mobilization and amalgamation of all current projects, with its focus on community oriented innovations, group formation, building knowledge and mobilization of activities. Kishori Shakti Yojana It is a part of ICDS scheme, implemented through Anganwadi centres in both urban and rural. The group of ten girls between the ages of 11-18 are provided health checkups by the Anganwadi centres. They are also provided with literacy skills, knowledge about the health care and decision-making skills. themselves and family Balika Samruddhi Yojana is an initiative where the focus is to change the attitude of community towards the girl child and to improve the enrollment and retention of girl’s child in school, raise the age of marriage for girls. This is basically for the overall development of a girl child. Gaurav Neeti is an initiative to create awareness about the social-economic and educational sector of women and benefit them.

 There is many other schemes successfully executed by Gujarat Government and are supporting/have supported women for resolving various women-centric issues. This point of concern is baseless and seem to be away from reality.

Your Concern 2- You are not happy with land acquisition procedures of the Gujarat Government.   
To plan Industrial development, land is required and it has to be acquired, Sam Either you come up and say that your Congress VP Rahul Gandhi is against industrial development in the country and want unemployment to prevail or withdraw from this allegation of land acquisition. As per “The Gujarat Land Acquisition Bill 2016” that dilutes the Centre's stringent provisions of the Land Acquisition Act 2013 farmers will gain as compensation part. In the urban areas compensation paid to land owners will be 100 per cent of the market value of the land, while in rural areas it would be 400 per cent. So there should not be any issue with this. You are talking about Gandhiyan way of development, for your information  Shree Acharya Kripalan said "If ever there was a planner without elaborate blue-prints, Gandhiji was one. This statement was not from anyone else but “Jivatram Bhagwandas Kripalani” popularly known as Acharya Kripalani, who was an Indian politician, noted particularly for holding the presidency of the Indian National Congress during the transfer of power in 1947. I  honour Mahatma Gandhi and his theories of moral development but if you support Gandhian theory of economy then you should come forward and say clearly that INC is against FDI and Globalization. If not, then I am bound to consider this statement as hollow.

Your Concern 3- GDP and GNP doesn’t matter until larger sections of society are benefited. So that means you want to say that a larger section of society is deprived.
So either you want to say that larger sections of society are not benefited or you are against GDP growth of Gujarat. So here are the figures

Gujarat had lowest unemployment rate in the country, per-capita income and NSDP is much higher than national average, so if people are earning well and state is creating employment then how can you justify your point that larger sections of society are not benefited in Gujarat. I agree to your point that a large section of society is still poor, unemployed or underemployed in our country and that is what we call as mismanagement of 70 years by ‘Indian national Congress”.

you package or Re-brand Rahul Gandhi by using twitter bots from Russia or India there is a basic problem with your strategy. The approach of INC doesn’t match with progressive Indian society. This is the problem and this is the reason why you are not able to win the hearts of people. The results will be reflected to you after Gujarat elections and congress will be losing in Gujarat assembly elections. I really feel that you people are on a three way crossing where you cannot say that your previous governance was not good and you have something better, Shree Narendra Modi Government is doing everything that can be done for the betterment of our nation, so you have no better plans to present, you are in pressure to present Rahul Gandhi as president of INC. By playing with SM Bots you seem to be eluding your own party workers by justifying counterfeit popularity.
Sam if you do not agree with any of the points that I have stated you can plan an open debate with me on the same and that’s a challenge.
Although I know that because your allegations on Gujarat Government are baseless so you may try to avoid facing me in public.  
Regards,

Pradeep Mahaur

Friday, October 6, 2017

Is Oil Sinking ? Analysis on Why Pricees Are Rising High



Last month we saw large hue and cry, especially by the opposition on Petrol prices going up by 2 rs. Now when Petrol price down Rs 2.5 a litre, diesel by Rs 2.25 (Delhi) none of these parties are coming out to praise the government. 

Petrol in Delhi now costs Rs 68.38 a litre, down from Rs 70.88. A litre of diesel now comes for Rs 56.89 as against Rs 59.14 previously, *following the reduction in excise duty* on auto fuels.

The government had yesterday cut excise duty on petrol and diesel by Rs 2 per litre each to moderate the rise in fuel prices.

Although increased petrol prices are not good, but it's not something which breaks the backbone of a person. Prices were around 70 during 2014 and 80 peak now, coming down. Compared to other things, it's not something which can break the house economy for most people who can afford bike.

Congress gave us cheaper petrol, but at cost of a poor economy. The money saved in petrol was taken away in more expensive medicines, more expensive tomatoes and onions (hoarding had come down 80% because of crackdown), increased taxes, mismanagement and many other things. All these things directly affect common man. What is better for India is impossible to implement just because immediate wants of people are slightly shattered. 

India is the third largest importer of crude oil in the world and it is the biggest country's expenditure. It is necessary to analyse the reasons for this price rise, deregulation of the prices, steps by government to stabilize the market, reduction in subsidy, impact of GST on Petrol and diesel prices, global scenario and future prospective. People claiming bad shape of economy or petroleum sector are mostly ignorant or victim of cunning agenda. 

 GST arrive but Petroleum products are still out of GST. People (especially opposition) blame Modi government of not bringing it under GST. Many other doubts and questions are raised in this regards. Few such questions are "Why petrol and diesel prices are not brought under GST"? Opposition parties often also question "Why petrol ⛽ prices are not falling in comparison to crude oil prices. They often compare Manmohan Era with current regime. 

We tried to understand the whole scenario in this article and find out the reason behind to arrive at some answer to such questions. 

Now the prices of Petroleum products are market driven, not under direct control of the government. The deregulation of diesel in October 2014 by Modi govt was a landmark step that went a long way in addressing the systemic defects plaguing the sector. Subsidy is now significantly reduced in order to bring down the budget deficit, cutting the deficit by almost 35% from UPA term and meeting his target of 3.5% for FY17, new target of less than 3% for 2017–2018. 

Subsidies on petroleum commodity is also significantly reduced. For example please look at the comparison between subsidy year on year. It is now reducing year on year. 
Data is Amount In Crores given as Subsidy on Petrol + Diesel + Gas

Year Subsidy (In crore)
2005 ( Post ABV ) 40,000
2006 49,387
2007 77,123  
2008 ( Before Election ) 1,03,292
2009 ( After winning ) 46,051 
2010 78,190
2011 1,38,541
2012. 1,61,029
2013 (Before Election). 1,43,738
2014 (Modi Era Begins). 76,285
2015. 27,571
2016. 22,738
2017 (till now). 7,069 

While the Congress used Subsidy always as POLITICAL TOOL to win elections, even if it means affecting and the Economy of Nation, thankfully Modi government is so far away from such populist measures. This subsidy was one of reason why prices not soar too high in Manmohan mis-managed economy. 

A message is widely spread these days in social media that current petrol and diesel the central exise duty is 23% and state VAT is 34%. Total tax is 57%. If these essential products are brought under GST , the maximum tax will be only 28%, which means the prices of petrol and diesel can come down by almost 50%. The public at large will be benefited. 

While the Central government has increased excise duty to take advantage of reduced crude international prices, all state governments (including all opposition) have significantly increased taxes on the commodity in order to increase their tax collection. While Petroleum Minister Shri Dharmendra Pradhan has given indication of bringing Petroleum prices under GST, most of the opposition parties have already started opposing the move. Earlier also no opposition party was ready to bring petrol prices under GST. Now most of the part of Central budget is again going to the state government further putting pressure on Central budget.

To answer this we must understand few important points

1. GST can go beyond 28%. This is already applicable for few items. Surcharge can be levied on anything in addition to GST slab. So government can still bring up the price and taxes to current level. So no saving of 50% as claimed in the above message. 

2. Petrol and liquor are the biggest source of revenue for every state and central government. Most of the states were not in the favor of bringing Petrol and few other items in the gambit of GST. So in order to avoid conflict and bring consensus, few items are deliberately kept out of GST. Most of them will sooner or later come under GST though it may take time.

3. Crude oil prices are not linearly linked to petrol prices. While the crude oil prices are reduced, still the transportation, overheads, refining & production and maintenance costs are constant or increasing. So the overall effect of crude oil reduction cannot be passed as such in the petrol or diesel prices. 

Now for the further analysis we should think about few points given below. According to our analysis any such move will be counter productive for economy. 

There are four important reasons government isn't giving benefit (by reducing prices, reducing tasveer or _brining it under GST_ ) in petrol prices even though international prices are coming down.

1. Exchange rate ($ - Rupee). 
While you have considered the fact that crude oil price have been falling, you forgot to consider the fact that, rupee has also devalued during the same period, causing a portion of crude oil price decrease to offset with the increasing exchange rate. 
2008
Crude oil price - $115/bbl
Exchange Rate - $1=Rs 45
2017
Crude oil price - $48-49/bbl
Exchange rate - $1=Rs 68


2. The proportion of crude oil which can be refined to petroleum. 
The amount of petrol that can be extracted out of barrel of crude oil is roughly 35% to 55%, depending upon the type of crude oil. So, the price fluctuations of crude oil that would be translating into the fluctuations in the petroleum price will depend on that proportion since it is not a linear relationship.

3. Excise duty factor.
The government, in order to avoid the free fall of the product prices which can lead to increased consumption and other effects, has been increasing the excise duty. The increased excise duty will help government recover its previous losses incurred in the form of under-recoveries, meet its fiscal deficit targets, increase its revenue in the form of taxes and help provide a cushion to the consumers when the price trend reverses. Government will reduce the excise duty factor when the crude oil prices start increasing, so that the product prices remain stable.

4. Inventory losses
Not every barrel of crude oil that the refiners refine is purchased from open market. Most of the crude oil delivered now has been purchased 3-4 months back. The decrease in price would be realized 3 to 4 months when the lower priced crude oil would be delivered to India.

In India, government no longer subsidise petrol or diesel prices. LPG for domestic purposes and kerosine are products that are subsided now. So subsidy is not the reason for reducing petrol or diesel prices, but fiscal deficit is. 

India's fiscal deficit reached 90%+. Indirect tax was expected to grow at 20% as per budget. But by the end of December it the growth was only 7.3% which is much below than expected. Also PSU disinvestment was delayed till Jan-Feb. This forced govt. to raise taxes on the products which is reflected in increase in excise duties of Petrol and Diesel. 

Another reason is the subsidy allocated in the budget was less than which would have actually occurred if crude prices was flat. So govt. with a possibility of higher fiscal deficit has increased the taxes as crude price dropped. Ironically these increase was not applicable to aviation fuel, prices hit less than petrol and even diesel on some days. 

To be fair, it has to be said that govt. was fortunate have to lower crude prices otherwise it is likely that things will be much worse than now, economically and politically.

So bringing them under GST is not a worth idea as it'll further increase the burden on economy.

In another very significant development, a deal to supply shale oil from US is stuck in a meeting between Indian prime Minister Narendra Modi and his US counterpart, Donald Trump. In the context of around 1,500 million barrels of oil imported by India, 
Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) docked at Paradip Port in Odisha on Monday to unload its 1.6 million barrels of shale oil. This was the first time since the US allowed exports of its oil after a ban of 40 years that it has supplied to India. Till now OPEC is the only prime source of supply to India, now it moved ahead by ordering its first consignment of 2 million barrels of shale oil for around USD 100 million. 

The economic sense behind the move lies because the cartel of OPEC nations was trying to keep oil prices higher by deliberately cutting production also they charge premium on oil export, the importing oil from the US is cheaper than those from west Asia. This step is surely going to turn heads in the OPEC world as the cartel struggles to find new markets and environmental awareness puts pressure on oil demand.

The government played an important role in bringing transportation costs down as it eased restrictions on importing oil compulsorily through ships owned by Indian companies. Using a VLCC to transport oil reduced the cost of transportation and made the decision economically viable.

The Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), benefited not only from the lower price of crude but also from a better quality of the oil. Shale oil, also known as tight oil, gives the best yield for the most lucrative middle distillates. In other words, the gross refining margins (GRM) of refineries will improve if the shale oil is used. 

Finally, the geopolitical benefit that India gains by purchasing US crude also needs to be taken into account. For India, importing crude oil also helps in bringing down the USD 24-billion trade deficit.

The above analysis will surely provide insight on the problem and steps taken to control the prices of oil products and overall improvement in the sector.

Thursday, October 5, 2017

JIHAD (WAR) THROUGH HIJR(AH)

Europe was once the shining beacon of shared nationality, prosperity & borderless nationhood.. One could be Swede, a Brit or a Frank and yet be part of the greater Europe. He could work anywhere and live anywhere, get paid in one common currency.... The concept was utopian and for sometime it seemed to work. Then came the Syrian & Iraqi wars and slowly refugees trickled into Europe.....Mind you they did not go to any neighboring Muslim nation, but chose to find shelter in this utopian shared nationhood with porous boundaries.

This trickle turned into a flood of migrants - mostly aged 20 something hardy, healthy males. Europe opened its borders to let them in. 

What they overlooked was ---

WHERE WERE THE WOMEN, THE CHILDREN, THE OLD, THE SICK AND INJURED?

Thousands of illegal migrants break through the border check posts
& forcibly enter Europe
Slowly Europe started drowning in the deluge of muslims who in the guise of migrants were actually using the age old Islamic technique of conquest - HIJR or Migration. Using migration as a tool of war or jihad, they settle in places with little or no muslims, they initially profess peace and play on the conscience of the  host by playing victims. They establish Ghettos or closed communities. As their number increases they start demanding separate rights, jurisprudence (as per sharia), Halal among other things.

When denied by the host state, they play aggressor and victim at the same time -

One half plays the aggressor - fighting a slow war of attrition,

Other half plays the victim - working on the well meaning liberals, the naive and those that suffer from guilt of having a good life.

The first half attacks, beats and often kills the host in order to subdue it into acquiescing and accepting the Islamic order,

The other half plays "interference" - As soon as the host starts retaliating or questioning their actions (jihad), this section starts claiming that they are the followers of a peaceful religion, that  they have suffered war (overlooking the fact that they are the ones waging war). This half paints the host as villains for opposing their right to practice their religion(?) or in other words "jihadi order"

They seek political patronage by promising enmass voting for the political party that turns a blind eye to their aggression and crimes. More often than not they get this patronage. With this patronage they also seek and often get support from the communist/leftist groups and intellectuals. This segment of readily lends hand to the Jihadi factions.

The agenda of both the halves is same - Islamic Domination of the region.......Jihad through Hijr...... Subduing the kaffir and establishing of the proverbial Caliphate.

So successful is this model that Britain overlooked the grooming of 1200 underage British (white) girls, as sex slaves by a group of migrant Pakistanis.  Most of these were well respected, married muslim men. When the girls complained, the police swept the matter under the carpet (probably under pressure from local politicians). However, as the number of victims increased to 1000+ the police was forced to act. Most of the criminals, however, got away with light sentences that was not as per the gravity of their crime. This happened mostly because the politicians did not, supposedly, want to alienate the muslim community!!!!!

The shame of Newcastle
  
As the threat of a backlash against this crime was to become a reality, the second half of the Jihad war machine came into play - they started with condemnation of the criminals, public posturing by religious leaders against the aggressor first half. But beyond that no action was taken by the  muslim community - no boycott, no social pariah status was accorded the criminals, no condemnation  of the crime within the community was evidenced. All the outcry was fro the British ears.
Places where muslim gangs groomed underage girls
for sex

All the above points are evident in the slow demise of Europe. We are witness to a war waged on a global stage, using deception, lies (Taqiya), propoganda, psychological manipulation to camouflage armed Jihad. 

Now the reader may ask - why focus  on something so far away as Europe, on people, under whom we, as a nation, have suffered so much in the recent past?

I say, look at the Indian states of Bengal, Assam, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jammu & Kashmir. We are witnessing the same model of warfare being waged right here in our India, as it is being implemented in Europe. Can we see the same model in practice in India?

·        Bangladeshi influx,
·        Establishment of ghettos in most cities of India,
·        Demographic changes in the areas of their settlement,
·        Demand for Masjids, Madarsas, Sharia gain momentum,
·        Oppression of Hindu minority in and around these ghettos.
·        Increased cases of crime against women,
·        Increase in crime rates in these areas,
·        Political patronage discourages police action

Hijr into India


There are innumerable modules are active in Bengal, Kerala, UP, Bihar, Jammu & Kashmir etc. These modules work independently and yet together as part of the bigger war machine. Slow migration of Hindus from these areas creates countless pockets of probable terror points,

  











  •    Pose security treats to the nation,
  •   Provide recruits for waging of jihad against India,
  •   Provide sanctuary to terror suspects,

It is time to wake up to the threat. It is time we open our eyes to the slow, irrepressible war of attrition being waged on us - our crime - WE ARE HINDUS!

Make no mistake about it - It is Jihad of the 21st century & if we don't stand united to face this threat together .......... THERE WILL BE NO "US" LEFT BY 2050

ONE BHARAT MISSION
VINEET SAXENA
@vineet_24










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